Additional vaccinations will drive infections up, not down.
Originally posted on eugyppius.substack.com by Eugyppius, November 16, 2021
Everybody is vaccinated in Gibraltar; since October, increasingly large numbers of people are triple vaccinated there.
Here’s what their booster campaign looks like:
As if on cue, infections in Gibraltar skyrocketed directly afterwards:
This isn’t a seasonal or a regional effect. Neighbouring countries, where the booster campaign has yet to begin (Morocco) or kick into high gear (Portugal, Spain), see a slight upward, seasonal trend—nothing like the Gibraltar spike.
When Israel rolled out boosters in August, they also saw spikes in infections and deaths. It is the same phenomenon we observed after dose 1. Only the second dose does not enhance infections, presumably because it is administered in the protective shadow of the first one. As with everything involving this virus and our vaccines, there are probably multiple causes at work here. For about ten days following vaccination, the vaccinated are more susceptible to infection, and a subset of them probably become minimally symptomatic super-spreaders.
Millions of people across Europe and North America will become eligible for Dose 3 at the very height of coronavirus season, in December and January. Uptake will be highest among medical professionals and nursing home personnel. There is the potential for real catastrophe here. While the vaccines don’t work as advertised, they are powerful pharmaceutical products and they have strange, unexpected effects — not only on the bodies of people who take them, but also on the dynamics of transmission and infection. Deranged medical bureaucrats, who refuse to abandon their dreams of controlling a highly contagious seasonal respiratory virus, have whole populations popping these things like aspirin. They could very well succeed in making Corona into the unprecedented public health disaster that the virus itself never quite was.
UPDATE: Always-sharp commenter someothercat points to this further proof: Infection peaks in Gibraltar are cascading from the oldest age groups to the youngest, following the order in which they were boosted.
@orwell2022 @MConceptions What are the chances that the dates of the day with highest daily cases for each boosted age group in Gibraltar follow a perfect chronological order? Those vaccinated first peaked first and so on.
Isn’t that proof that the booster are causing the current 🌊?
Similarly close correlations plagued Dose 1. As @kingotnik discovered in May, infections in Germany were always around 2–7% of vaccine doses administered 17 days prior. The effect disappeared only with improving spring weather.
